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Morgan and Henrion (1990) offer the following excellent "ten commandments' in relation to quantitative risk and policy analysis:

  1. Do your homework with literature, experts and users

  2. Let the problem drive the analysis

  3. Make the analysis as simple as possible, but no simpler

  4. Identify all significant assumptions

  5. Be explicit about decision criteria and policy strategies

  6. Be explicit about uncertainties

  7. Perform systematic sensitivity and uncertainty analysis

  8. Iteratively refine the problem statement and the analysis

  9. Document clearly and completely

  10. Expose to peer review

Burmaster and Anderson (1994) also offer fourteen very well considered principles for Monte Carlo modeling in human health and ecological risk assessments.

 

 

 


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